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Fimbulvintern

The Fimbulwinter · projectfimbul.eu/klok

How far are we from the long winter? A clock based on the probability that a major crisis begins in Europe this month.

--:--to midnight

What moves the hands

The probability per category that the event begins this month. The bar shows the 90% range: how certain the model is of its own estimate. The seconds show how far that category moves the clock forward.

Past twelve months

Current signals

How accurate is this?